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昨天TODAY看世界，才講到美國能源基礎建設老舊，成為駭客勒索目標。結果台灣就剛好大停電....
報導裏我們引述眾多外媒説殖民管線，面對駭客勒索應該沒有付錢。但今天最新的消息說，應該是付錢了。
Colonial Pipeline Said to Pay Ransom to Hackers Who Caused Shutdown - WSJ https://www.wsj.com/articles/colonial-pipeline-expects-to-fully-restore-service-thursday-following-cyberattack-11620917499
"First of all, I am blessed to be here, being from North America where we can't have fans in any leagues for that matter, even in Canada all the #basketball right now is shutdown. So first and foremost I am blessed to be here," Dreamers head coach Kyle Julius said. #sports
https://focustaiwan.tw/sports/202011070015
I have recently perused Nicholas Kristof’s NYT piece “China’s Man in Washington, Named Trump”(https://nyti.ms/3h2JXh8). One paragraph in particular caught my attention: “A joke in China suggests that Trump’s Chinese name is Chuan Jianguo, or “Build-the-Country Trump.” That’s because Build-the-Country is a common revolutionary name among Communist patriots, and it’s mockingly suggested that Trump’s misrule of the United States is actually bolstering Xi’s regime.”
Kristoff also avows that since Trump’s ascension to presidency, the American nation became highly polarized. This is reflected in the current administration’s policies on climate change, foreign relations with established U.S. allies, and COVID-19 prevention, all of which are rather ineffective. It also seems like Mr. Trump and his team diverged from the traditional priorities, including promoting free trade, human rights, and other quintessentially American values. As described thoroughly by John Bolton, all these factors contributed to the declining standing of the U.S. in global politics.
What is more, many people fall prey to CCP’s propaganda and its interpretations of Trump’s actions, which only enhances China’s reputation.
But that might not exactly be the case.
The CCP apparently failed to utilize the window of opportunity created by the ineptness of the Trump administration, as China could have grown to the position of a leader by filling in the void left by the U.S.
During the 2016 APEC Ministerial Meeting in Lima, Peru, Xi Jinping and his team actively supported the plans to establish the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) and a Free Trade Area of the Asia Pacific, or FTAAP. In contrast, the United States withdrew its signature from the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) in early 2017. Coupled with China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) and the establishment of the Asian Infrastructure and Investment Bank (AIIB), this move bolstered China’s capacity to influence global investments and trade, high-tech mergers and acquisitions, and, overall, expand its geostrategic influence on the entire globe.
At the same time, various propaganda films about great power competition, military industry, and science and technology surged all at once, and gained remarkable following around the world.
All this provided a window of opportunity for the CCP to slowly change its course. Around the same time, the distrust for POTUS among U.S. allies’ reached its apex. According to polls conducted by the Pew Research Center, the distrust for the U.S. president in the U.K. reached 75%, 72% in Japan, 70% in Australia, and stunning 86% in France.
Had the C.C.P,. begun to open up at that time, or at least resumed the governance style of the Hu-Wen administration, it could have reaped the benefits of promoting liberalism where the U.S. failed to deliver. It was the time for Beijing to gradually enhance freedom of speech domestically, pursue sustainable infrastructural projects, gradually reform unfair barriers to trade, transform its S.O.E.s, strengthen protections for private ownership, and vitalize its start-ups and enterprises.
Moreover, were China to cease the genocide in East Turkestan and refrain from cracking down on Hong Kong's semi-autonomy, it would have greatly enhanced its global international image. Additionally, if paired with slow but steady reforms, Beijing’s respect for sovereignty of its peoples would have attracted a large amount of foreign investment, which in turn would have continued to buttress the country’s growth.
It is China prerogative to remain idle.
It might still be possible for Chinese “Dream” to come true.
Yet, a historic window of opportunity is now closed.
Xi assumed the tools of proscribing and stalling, which are completely antithetical to the aforementioned window of opportunity.
Today, China is more authoritarian, less flexible, and fully deprived of horizontal accountability. Its reliance on wolf warrior diplomacy backfired: for example, the Swedish parliament sought to expel the Chinese ambassador to Stockholm. Also, Prague, the capital of Czechia, terminated its sister-city agreement with Shanghai and instead signed a new one with Taipei. Last but not least, we ought not to forget about the recent fiasco in the relations with the United States who ordered the shutdown of China’s consulate in Houston. All of this took its toll on China’s reputation.
Its international standing and inability to replace the U.S. as the major global power are not the only issues China is currently facing.
As it experiences multiple domestic and international shocks, China struggles to combat the COVID-19 pandemic and tame the disastrous floods of Yangtze River. The swarm of locusts of biblical proportions is also crippling Beijing’s institutional capacity and may soon lead to food shortages. In fact, the precarity of food supply further diminishes the level of trust for Chinese authorities.
In 2019, the Pew Research Center conducted a public opinion survey to examine the international views of China. In the U.S., Argentina, the U.K., Canada, Germany, and Ukraine, only about 30% of respondents claim a favorable view of China.
As the COVID-19 pandemic rages in the U.S., as many as 73% of U.S. respondents view China unfavorably.
Recently, the C.C.P. is losing its focus by continuously shifting targets. In fact, I believe there is no need for the C.C.P.to rely on nationalistic appeals, since in this new century values, business relations, and fair competition are all far more important than greater than delusive blood ties.
China lies only 130 kilometers away from us. Of course, we welcome dialogue and seek to avoid misjudgments. But we also distinguish between the C.C.P. and China. While we do welcome dialogue, but we will not be coerced to talk under unjust preconditions or in fear.
The only fair prerequisites are those of reciprocity, mutual respect as well as fairness and openness with respect for the rule of law.
Source: Pew Research Center
最近看到紐約時報中文版的一篇文章
<美國的川普，中國的「川建國」>，其中一小段是這樣的
「在中國，人們戲稱川普的中文名字是川建國。那是因為建國是共產黨愛國者中一個普遍的革命人名。它在諷刺地暗示川普對美國的治理不當實際上是在鞏固習近平的政權。」
裡面也提到，川普在任的幾年，國家更分裂，對於氣候變遷，傳統美國盟友，乃至於疫情處理等都相當拙劣，對於美國傳統的自由貿易、人權等價值也基本上都沒有太大興趣。這些方針，導致美國在世界的評價降低，波頓的新書也多有描述。
除此之外，許多不幸相信中共宣傳，又或者是中共圈養的小粉紅，特別故意愛宣傳川普增強中國的威望。
但這不是真的。
中共完全沒有掌握美國做得不夠好的地方，去增強其在世界的領導力。
在2016年時，秘魯的亞太峰會舉行期間，習近平政權爭取（RCEP）及亞太自由貿易區（FTAAP）談判；對比2017年初，美國剛宣布退出ＴＰＰ，加上中國到「一帶一路」和亞洲基礎設施投資銀行，中國當時在世界全面發揮投資貿易、高科技併購還有其地緣戰略的影響力。
也是那個時候，各種的大國崛起、大國軍工、大國科技的宣傳影片此起彼落，似乎正準備要在世界舞台發光發熱。
這曾經是中共慢慢轉向的一個機會之窗。彼時（2017)美國盟友對美國總統的不信任度達到歷史新高，根據皮尤研究中心的資訊，英國對於美國總統的不信任度達到75%、日本72% 澳洲70% 法國更高達86%
如果那時中共開始有限度的改革，對內放寬言論自由，或者至少維持在胡溫當時的水中，對外追求有責任的基礎建設，逐步緩慢減低不公平的貿易壁壘，對於國有企業改革，增強私營企業、新創企業的活力。
停止對新疆迫害，不干預香港自治，不僅國際形象會大幅改善，哪怕是緩慢但是穩健的改革，也會讓大量吸引外資，讓中國的活力持續前進。
哪怕是什麼都不做也好
那或許有這麽一點可能性，中國「夢」是可以前行的
但是歷史機緣的大門已經關上。
習、禁、停、放棄了這個機會之窗，徹底的走向相反的方向。
更專制、更沒有彈性，更沒有任何制衡的力量。各種戰狼外交，讓瑞典議員提案驅逐中國大使，捷克布拉格市長與台北簽訂姊妹是，就解散上海與該市關係、被美國關閉領事館、各種讓中國形象低下的事情，中共都沒有少做。
中共不但完全沒有辦法取代美國，在多重國內外的衝擊之下，又是瘟疫，又是超大水患，緊接著蝗害，還有進來的糧食不足問題，正在面臨巨大的瓶頸。
而糧食的命脈，卻恰恰又在對他最不信任，對中共價值最反對的國家聯盟
根據皮尤研究中心:Pew Research Center2019調查各國對中國的喜好度，美國、阿根廷、英國、加拿大、德國、烏克蘭等，對於中國的喜好度都在30%上下
而2020疫情後美國對於中國的不信任度，更高達73%。
最近中共在演習，又要玩轉移目標的手段，對於中共，其實不必再有民族主義的同情，因為新的世紀，價值、商業模式、公平競爭的制度大於血緣幻想。
中國離我們只有130公里的距離，我們當然歡迎對話，避免誤判。但我們同時也區分中共與中國，歡迎對話，但不在前提、條件、恐懼之下對話。
如果真的要有前提，那就是對等、尊重，還有公平公開法治的方式會晤。
資料來源：皮尤研究中心:Pew Research Center
（美國著名的民調機構和智庫機構，https://www.pewresearch.org/）
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#抖音 #TikTok #中印衝突
各節重點：
00:00 前導
01:13 在印度爆紅的TikTok
03:05 印度政府禁止TikTok的理由
05:01 中印關係的角力
07:35 到處被審查的TikTok
09:34 我們的觀點
【 製作團隊 】
｜企劃：冰鱸
｜腳本：冰鱸
｜編輯：土龍
｜剪輯後製：絲繡
｜剪輯助理：歆雅
｜演出：志祺
——
【 本集參考資料 】
→Government Bans 59 mobile apps which are prejudicial to sovereignty and integrity of India, defence of India, security of state and public order：https://bit.ly/3eqMpvT
→印度政府發文，封禁 TikTok 等數十款中國應用：https://bit.ly/3fr49bL
→中印衝突：抖音遭下架，印度禁止59款中國應用的強烈信號：https://bbc.in/30jkWaD
→抖音回應印度：我們不會向北京提供使用者數據：https://bit.ly/2OhU6tx
→回應印度App禁令 抖音稱不會向北京提供用戶數據：https://bit.ly/2DDqvZJ
→印度禁抖音！封殺TikTok與「中國數位絲路」的中印貿易戰：https://bit.ly/3ekOVUx
→With India’s TikTok Ban, the World’s Digital Walls Grow Higher：https://nyti.ms/2AUjiDB
→India’s TikTok shutdown has left careers and fortunes in tatters：https://bit.ly/32e5ijc
→Smartphone Apps Are Now a Weapon in International Disputes：https://bit.ly/2WekWXW
→Why Chinese app TikTok became a rage in India and how the govt's ban impacts people：https://bit.ly/3gQl4F5
→India's China Border Face-Off Fuels a Wallet War：https://bit.ly/2C59gzZ
→抖音剉咧等！繼印度後 澳洲可能跟進發出禁用令：https://bit.ly/2DDqLb9
→印度封殺禁令 抖音母公司恐損失逾60億美元：https://bit.ly/2WaUiz5
→印度禁「抖音」：殘害兒童身心？TikTok封殺下架：https://bit.ly/2WgHXtv
→懷疑 TikTok 進行中國式內容審查，美參議員要求美國政府調查：https://bit.ly/2ZYUByg
→「抵制中國」印度再出招！「偵測中國」App上架秒爆紅：https://bit.ly/2DuiTbI
→在印度爆紅的「移除中國」手機應用被谷歌下架：https://bbc.in/3elpBxv
→不只禁用抖音等59個中國App，印度總理停用「@莫迪總理」微博帳號：https://bit.ly/3fq9Czs
→【抖音真的要 GG 了】失去印度市場之後換美國？川普正考慮封殺 Tiktok：https://bit.ly/3iWz7KV
→被指存資安風險 抖音海外版TikTok遭歐盟審查：https://bit.ly/2CuwC1M
→Tik Tok資安疑慮歐洲也擔心！歐盟數據保護委員會：成立專案小組展開調查：https://bit.ly/3frEX4X
→加勒萬河谷肉搏戰：印度軍確認20死，中國未公開損失傳43死傷：https://bit.ly/3gWzWSu
→中印流血衝突會不會在印度引發抵制中國商品浪潮：https://bbc.in/2CrWD1K
→印度反中情緒高漲 官員帶頭籲抵制中餐館和中貨：https://bit.ly/2CyVSUs
→中印邊境暴力衝突 印度再掀抵制中國貨風潮：https://bit.ly/2Ol33SZ
→印度反中新招！政府專用電商平台須標示商品產地：https://bit.ly/32dLixi
→備受質疑的數位巨獸：「抖音」為何遭美政府機關禁用？：https://bit.ly/3esLIlz
→Tiktok和抖音：從默默無聞到充滿爭議：https://bbc.in/38TzrW8
→Revealed: how TikTok censors videos that do not please Beijing：https://bit.ly/3espPmy
→Factbox: How TikTok, caught in U.S. regulatory crossfire, rose to global video stardom：https://reut.rs/2Welop6
→Sen. Marco Rubio is asking the US government to investigate TikTok over claims it's censoring content that might upset China：https://bit.ly/2Dw48Fm
→TikTok is facing a global backlash over security concerns. Should we be worried about it here?：https://ab.co/328Rab3
→New Platform, Old Problems: How TikTok Recreates the Regulatory Challenges that Came Before It：https://bit.ly/2WdYj6e
→How TikTok could fail：https://bit.ly/38PmblH
→美國海軍下令禁用抖音TikTok：https://bit.ly/2OhbAGA
→抖音靠著龐大的歐美用戶，得以控制海外言論？：https://bit.ly/32eaxQ2
→字節跳動 TikTok 全球化程度已超越 BAT，印度禁令成為巨大隱憂：https://bit.ly/38PWUHW
→從反抖音到反中國APP，瘟疫時代的印度反華潮走向何處？：https://bit.ly/3epMj7Q
→在海外，抖音與微信為何成為「中國威脅論」的延伸？：https://bit.ly/32905Jv
→100%台灣製，卻與抖音一同被印度封殺…台灣還有數十家新創恐步後塵？：https://bit.ly/2Dw4DPK
→22歲印度青年靠TikTok為家人買了房！「反中」也敵不過好用App？：https://bit.ly/32a5Zdm
→印度禁微信、抖音等59款中國App，是怕人民不再「反中」？：https://bit.ly/38PmiO9
→中國TikTok被禁 印度網民改用國產短視頻應用：https://bbc.in/2C4VkpG
→棍棒拳頭下的中印衝突：https://bit.ly/305YpOk
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